Chance in scientific explanations

24 Abril 2024, 21:00 • Cristina Villegas Cerredo

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Topics covered: Propensities and Humphreys’ paradox; causal hypotheses in propensities; pluralism about probability; types of chance-based explanations in science.

Discussion in class of the text “Chances and causes in evolutionary biology: How many chances become one chance” (2011), by Roberta Millstein.

Chance in scientific explanations

24 Abril 2024, 19:00 • Cristina Villegas Cerredo

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Topics covered: Propensities and Humphreys’ paradox; causal hypotheses in propensities; pluralism about probability; types of chance-based explanations in science.

Discussion in class of the text “Chances and causes in evolutionary biology: How many chances become one chance” (2011), by Roberta Millstein.

Objective probability and scientific inquiry

17 Abril 2024, 21:00 • Cristina Villegas Cerredo

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Topics covered: differences between epistemic and objective accounts of probability; the frequency interpretation of probability; the reference class problem; induction and hypothetical frequentism; the propensity interpretation of probability.

Objective probability and scientific inquiry

17 Abril 2024, 19:00 • Cristina Villegas Cerredo

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Topics covered: differences between epistemic and objective accounts of probability; the frequency interpretation of probability; the reference class problem; induction and hypothetical frequentism; the propensity interpretation of probability.

The interpretation of probability as a philosophical and scientific problem

10 Abril 2024, 21:00 • Cristina Villegas Cerredo

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Topics covered: brief history of probability theory and axiomatization; relationship between probability and statistics in science; the classical interpretation of probability; the principle of indifference.